MANIFOLD
Will there be an earthquake of at least 8.0 magnitude by July 15?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ1.3k
resolved Jul 17
Resolved
NO

This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:

https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest

It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:

https://forms.gle/Zh6vvRw2YgdYSdgV6

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ35
2Ṁ30
3Ṁ11
4Ṁ7
5Ṁ6
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy