Background On February 4, 2025, President Trump announced new tariffs on Chinese imports. While specific products like electric vehicles face a 100% tariff, and items such as solar cells and semiconductors face a 50% tariff, the general additional tariff rate on Chinese imports is 10%. Some products also face a 25% tariff, including critical minerals, steel, and aluminum.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if the general/universal tariff rate imposed on Chinese goods imported to the United States reaches or exceeds 100%. Product-specific tariffs that only apply to certain categories of goods will not count toward resolution. The market will resolve NO if the general tariff rate remains below 100%.

Considerations

• The current universal tariff rate of 10% is significantly below the 100% threshold

• While some specific products face higher tariffs, these targeted measures do not affect the resolution of this market

• Changes in tariff rates typically require executive orders or legislative action and are publicly announced