When will a single Falcon 9 booster fly 40 times
Plus
14
Ṁ4872031
5%
Before Jan 1 2026
38%
Before Jan 1 2027
58%
Before Jan 1 2028
65%
Before Jan 1 2029
71%
Before Jan 1 2030
7%
2030 or later
41%
Never
In April 2024, B1062 became the first falcon booster to reach 20 flights. The company says it is currently qualifying them to fly 40 times each. Coincidentally(?), if a booster flies 40 times, it will also break Discovery's record 39 flights, though the comparison of a shuttle orbiter and first stage of a more traditional rocket is difficult.
Market resolves after a successful flight to orbit. Landing is not necessary. Local time at launch site.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Which booster will fly 50 times first?
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
62% chance
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?
77% chance
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
59% chance
By which flight will SpaceX successfully recover both Starship and its Booster?
By when will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy booster, as part of a space-bound flight
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 600 times?
84% chance
Will Falcon boosters have a longer run of sucessful landings than 267?
64% chance
What percentage of Falcon 9/Heavy boosters will RTLS in 2024?
35% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Heavy in 2025?