Which booster will fly 50 times first?

Question

The current record is 19 times by a Falcon 9 booster.

I'm mostly interested in real reuse rather than elaborate refurbishment like the shuttle program. I'm not sure how to capture that clearly in the conditions though.

@/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-20-times-fir

@/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-25-times-fir

@/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-30-times-fir

@/Mqrius/which-booster-will-fly-50-times-fir

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Starship, followed by Falcon 9 and Other are most likely. See the market for live updates (14 traders, as of Sep 20, 2026).

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