MANIFOLD
How many times will Electron launch in 2025?
4
แน€100แน€966
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES
<= 18
Resolved
NO
<= 8
Resolved
NO
<= 10
Resolved
NO
<= 12
Resolved
NO
<= 14
Resolved
NO
<= 16

Only fully successful, orbital launches (no HASTE) will count. Up to EOD Dec 31 2025, local time wherever the launch takes place.

Electron had 14 successful orbital launches in 2024, and 8 in 2023.

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Technology
Elon musk
Space
SpaceX
Rockets
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Next year: https://manifold.markets/table8473/how-many-times-will-electron-launch-t0hz6g2z5g

15 plus 3 suborbital so <=14 can resolve thanks.@table8473

bought แน€22 NO

@table8473 13 plus 2 suborbital so I think <=12 can resolve no

bought แน€5 NO

I believe <=10 can resolve NO

Q2 earnings call: >20 launches this year ("hopefully more"), >3 of them will be HASTE. 11 launches, all non-HASTE, as of August 7.

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