an LLM as capable as GPT-4 will run on a 3090 before March 2024
23
430Ṁ4814resolved Mar 12
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
e.g. Winograde >= 87.5%
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ118 | |
| 2 | Ṁ74 | |
| 3 | Ṁ45 | |
| 4 | Ṁ37 | |
| 5 | Ṁ31 |
People are also trading
Related questions
China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025
89% chance
Will it be possible to run an LLM of GPT-4 (or higher) capability on a portable device by 2027?
37% chance
Size of smallest open-source LLM marching GPT 3.5's performance in 2025? (GB)
1.83
Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?
83% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026
51% chance
Which next-gen frontier LLMs will be released before GPT-5? (2025)
When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
GPT-4 performance and compute efficiency from a simple architecture before 2026
19% chance