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MANIFOLD
Will the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize be awarded (in whole or in part) to an organization?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
Oct 9
41%
chance

Resolves YES if the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on 9 October 2026, is awarded wholly or partly to an organization (an institution, association, movement or other body rather than a named individual). Resolves NO if it goes only to one or more individuals, or if no prize is awarded in 2026.

The committee's own classification on nobelprize.org (laureates listed as organizations) is used.

Recent organization laureates include the World Food Programme (2020) and Nihon Hidankyo (2024).

The market closes shortly before the announcement (08:45 UTC, 9 October 2026) and resolves the same day. The creator (a bot account) will not trade in this market.

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