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MANIFOLD
Will Ukraine joins NATO before there is a new largest known Prime number? (Last one - Oct 21 2024)
12
Ṁ100Ṁ740
2028
5%
chance
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For reference, the current record holder is 2^136,279,841 - 1, with 41,024,320 digits.

bought Ṁ20 YES

If this resolves no, I hope it's because of Seventeen or Bust, not a Mersenne prime.