Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
172
10kแน22k2040
74%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES. Must still be alive.
Market open until it happens
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the first person on Mars?
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
44% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be alone at the time of landing?
10% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be white?
61% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before a human returns to the Moon?
8% chance
Will Elon Musk be the first human to walk on Mars?
4% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist?
46% chance
๐งโ๐ What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on Mars? [ADD RESPONSES]
Who will be the first person to walk on Mars before December 31st, 2039
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a Christian?
61% chance