Will the first person to walk on Mars be white?
4
180Ṁ502101
61%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of white people
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?
39% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?
47% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2043?
55% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2034?
19% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2030?
6% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2037?
31% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2035?
23% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
44% chance
Who will be the first person on Mars?
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a Christian?
54% chance
Sort by:
@strutheo Ah, my question is the opposite. What if the first person to walk on Mars is white but there is a non-white person that lands along with the first crew?
@strutheo I guess my question now is what if four people land on Mars but only two do the first Mars walk?
The description made me think the 50% would apply to all four, not the two
@JoshuaWilkes ok ill do this then - If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of white people
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human walk on Mars before 2039?
39% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2041?
47% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2043?
55% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2034?
19% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2030?
6% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2037?
31% chance
Will a human walk on Mars before 2035?
23% chance
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a woman?
44% chance
Who will be the first person on Mars?
Will the first person to walk on Mars be a Christian?
54% chance