Will a Barbenheimer movie actually release before the next nuclear bomb detonation or test?
Will a Barbenheimer movie actually release before the next nuclear bomb detonation or test?
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Would the movie have to be an official crossover by the original studios or would any amateur YouTube video count?
@TheAllMemeingEye has to be a real movie, most likely the one referred to in these articles https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/barbenheimer-low-budget-comedy-film-charles-band-1235636257/
@TheAllMemeingEye hard to say but In the spirit of the question i'd expect at least some level of producers/budget and marketing, and to be listed on streaming services that cater to movies , not just YouTube . If unclear dm me before betting and I'll check
It might be good to have some clarification on what the resolve criteria is, and what constitutes as a nuclear bomb test. For example, do sub-critical tests count?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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