😇Who will go to Heaven by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
63
1k
9k
2026
98.4%
Peter Higgs
79%
Steve Albini
76%
Dan Wakefield
71%
Kenneth Anger
69%
Jimmy Carter
65%
Juan Vicente Perez
64%
Alice Munro
64%
William Bill Post (inventor of poptart)
60%
Rosa Tarlovsky de Roisinblit
59%
Paul McCartney
44%
Clint Eastwood
44%
Warren Buffett
42%
Bernie Sanders
41%
Roger Penrose
41%
Keith Richards
36%
Mel Brooks
35%
Matt Groening
35%
Noam Chomsky
34%
Dick van Dyke
32%
Bruce Willis

For each option here, if the person dies by EOY 2025, a poll will be made and the answer here will resolve accordingly: " 'Should X go to Heaven, Hell, or Unsure/Neither/Purgatory"

Worthiness is to be determined by good/badness as a person in life, not by any religious technicalities (There are no disqualifications for reasons like 'They can't go to heaven because they aren't Christian')

If the person dies AND their poll closes 'Heaven' their option will resolve YES.

If the person does not die by EOY 2025 their option will resolve NO.

If the person dies, but their vote ends in Unsure/Neither/Purgatory, their option resolves NO.

Also see: /strutheo/who-will-go-to-hell-by-eoy-2025-acc

Get Ṁ200 play money
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Steve Albini
bought Ṁ7 Steve Albini YES

An edgelord, a pretentious douchebag, and a strong advocate for workers rights who happened to be right about everything. RIP to a legend

Peter Higgs

It's so sad that we lost the guy who invented mass.

@BlueDragon hold up we still have to vote on her! read the rules

i actually dont know anything about how good of a person she was, maybe this is easy to tell for others

@strutheo I did. I like this one. You want a loan for the poll? 😁😉

@BlueDragon oh you must be pretty confident then haha. ill make it now , i can afford it today! https://manifold.markets/strutheo/do-you-think-iris-apfel-deserves-to

reposted

RIP richard lewis

Manifold changed the cost of polls to be 10x higher so I am going to wait to make new polls until they either change this, or idk

bought Ṁ125 Answer #f34ae3d06272 YES

Navalny died for our sins.

reposted
reposted

Bob moore died 😢

founder of red mill foods + other philanthropy
added + poll is out

https://fortune.com/2022/02/17/bobs-red-mill-president-on-his-employee-owned-company/


idk, @strutheo how do you feel about adding people to the list who recently died?

@Lion fine with me

@strutheo yeah I totally gamed this but he deserves a spot

@Lorelai I think as long as @strutheo doesn't mind creating a poll there isn't a problem (we need the poll for Damo Suzuki)

@Lion heres the problem - do i wait untill 2025 to make 100 polls, or do i do them one at a time and have people manipulating the markets 🤔

@strutheo 1. I ❤ manipulating markets. 2. I think a few polls here and there would advertise and drive engagement for this market. 3. I don't think anyone will answer 100 polls in a row.

@Lion really wish i could close only that option... maybe i can temporarily close the whole market? or is that too disruptive to do over and over

@strutheo I think it'd be okay as well. It's not like it'll be closed every day as long as nobody daily submits a Z-celebrity. (I don't mean Suzuki with this.)

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