🏖️What will happen in August 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
64
600Ṁ6045
Sep 1
5%
large tech company announces layoffs by my judgement
Resolved
YES
earthquake 7.0+ magnitude
Resolved
YES
noam chomsky alive until end of month
Resolved
YES
starship launch
Resolved
YES
Anthropic or Meta release a new model
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
Resolved
YES
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive during the entire month
Resolved
YES
a tesla catches fire as reported by mainstream news
Resolved
YES
dick cheney still alive at end of month
Resolved
YES
earthquake 7.5 magnitude or higher
Resolved
YES
silksong game release date announced
Resolved
YES
Sam Altman still CEO through end of month
Resolved
YES
$500 in mana sold in a single day during the month
Resolved
YES
spacex launches 15 or more rockets
Resolved
YES
NASDAQ hits an all time high
Resolved
YES
Volcano dormant for half a year erupts
Resolved
N/A
Resolved
N/A
nVidia becomes the largest company in the history of the world (by market capitalization) at least once
Resolved
N/A
spider man beyond the spider verse release date announced

I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • Update 2025-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A playable demo will not be considered a release. To resolve an answer YES, it must be more than a demo and not an early access version.

  • Update 2025-08-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to questions about ambiguity in the answer 'nVidia becomes the largest company...', the creator has stated that this answer might be resolved to N/A.

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@strutheo
Did this happen in July 2025
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/spider-man-beyond-the-spider-verse-release-1236320001/
Miles Morales will be swinging into theaters a tad later than previously planned. Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse will now bow on June 25, 2027, three weeks later than its previous June 4, 2027 date.

or March 2025
https://variety.com/2025/film/news/spider-man-beyond-the-spider-verse-release-date-2027-1236349282/
Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse,” the third entry in Sony’s animated web-slinging trilogy, will swing into theaters… in a few years. It’ll be released on June 4, 2027.

or do neither of these count?

bought Ṁ95 YES

@strutheo
https://www.iris.edu/app/seismic-monitor/table
7.5 22nd Aug Southern Drake passage.
Can resolve 7 and 7.5

bought Ṁ57 YES

@strutheo https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/07/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
The Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.98% for a record close of 21,450.02. The tech-heavy index hit a fresh all-time intraday high earlier in the day.

bought Ṁ20 YES

@strutheo does Claude Opus 4.1 count?

@strutheo It is now larger than any other company ever has been. Is that enough to resolve yes?

Notes:
Does it have to "become" i.e be not largest company ever at some point in August then later become largest? i.e it has to shrink to being smaller than another company's record first in order to later grow and "become" largest?

Alternately Is beating its own record sufficient to say it "becomes" largest in August? Record on 30 July 2025 has not been beaten in August (not yet anyway).

I see a few possible interpretations:
Be largest co by market cap in Aug
Become largest company ever in Aug and BTW metric is market cap
Become largest by market cap in Aug.

It doesn't seem impossible that all could become true in August and the question is unambiguously true. If some tests pass and some don't then it is a bit confusing.

What happens in other future months?

@ChristopherRandles it was copied from an old example yeah. I might need to na...

bought Ṁ200 YES

@JussiVilleHeiskanen @strutheo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0r7qlwg4zro
Russian volcano erupts for first time in more than 500 years

@strutheo
Does a playable demo being obtainable count as a release?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@strutheo silksong
https://www.polygon.com/news/616781/hollow-knight-silksong-demo-xbox-gamescom
which might mean a release date of 20 Aug is known now so not in Aug.
While the release date might be in Aug?

But quite possibly it needs to be a full release and playable demo does not count.

@ChristopherRandles oh no i dont think thats a realease, just a demo. its not even early access

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