What WON'T happen by EoY 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]
97
2.1kṀ15k2026
97%
Ukraine joins Nato
96%
Eric Adams is no longer Mayor of NYC
85%
Officially supported Netflix app releases for the Apple vision pro
85%
Evergrande liquidation completed
82%
Taylor Swift becomes engaged to be married
78%
A previously unrecognized country receives its first recognition by a UN member state.
70%
Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher
65%
Trump will eliminate Daylight Saving Time
55%
Luigi Mangione Convicted of Murder
55%
Any AI-assisted song generated by me and posted at stevesokolowski.com receives 11,111 listens
45%
prong.studio releases another product (not an accessory/add on)
27%
GPT-5 released
Inspired by @strutheo's monthly/yearly megamarkets, but with a slight twist; answers will resolve 'NO' as they happen, and 'YES' at the end of 2025 if they haven't happened yet.
Expect my policy around resolutions and N/A's to be roughly in line with strutheo's, though I might be a bit more lenient wrt joke answers. We'll see, this market will be around for a while.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000