In what year will the first female president of the United States stop being president? This can be by losing an election, resignation, death, or otherwise. Market open until it happens.
1,000Reminder: Regular presidential transitions happen in the year following the elections, not in the year of the elections themselves. So 2025, 2029, 2033, etc, and not 2024, 2028, 2032, etc.
@UnspecifiedPerson correct - if this is a normal transition they would leave power the year AFTER, don't forget !
@strutheo pls clarify, because this comment confused me when compared to the criteria. are you saying it's the first year a woman isnt president at any point (what this comment implies), or the first year that contains a new president after her (what the question seems to ask, except ofc the abolishment of the presidency/ US/ yadda yadda)?
Other markets put the chance of a 2024 winner that’s not Trump or Biden at a few % at most. It’s unlikely that any president wouldn’t serve out their full first term.