In what year will I have a first biological child?
5
325Ṁ4622036
September 22, 2031
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1%
2025
7%
2026
9%
2027
9%
2028
9%
2029
9%
2030
9%
2031
9%
2032
9%
2033
8%
2034
7%
2035
14%
2036+
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will I have my first child by August 2026?
85% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
23% chance
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
78% chance
Will I be pregnant by this time next year?
12% chance
If I have a child before 2032 will it be a biological male?
52% chance
By EOY 2040, will I have been parent to a human child?
51% chance
Will I have a child with another person or adopt one by EOY 2035?
62% chance
Will I have children by 2035?
43% chance
Will I become a parent before May 14th, 2028?
90% chance
Sort by:
@jim Maybe to avoid one of those 'apple dumpling gang' situations; getting left a child in a will or something. I imagine there are folks with kids to spare...
@ArtimisFowl but what if he decides to adopt but he doesn't want to tell the child he's adopted but then the child finds this market and then the child asks why the market hasn't resolved yet?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I have my first child by August 2026?
85% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?
23% chance
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
78% chance
Will I be pregnant by this time next year?
12% chance
If I have a child before 2032 will it be a biological male?
52% chance
By EOY 2040, will I have been parent to a human child?
51% chance
Will I have a child with another person or adopt one by EOY 2035?
62% chance
Will I have children by 2035?
43% chance
Will I become a parent before May 14th, 2028?
90% chance