In which year will the first baby be born as the result of legal germline gene editing?
3
200Ṁ160
2036
3%
2025
9%
2026
13%
2027
13%
2028
25%
2029
13%
2030 - 2032
13%
2033 - 2035
13%
Does not occur legally before 2036

Question resolves to the year the baby is born (which could be different from the year the editing happens).

Background reading from Gene Smith for those interested:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/DfrSZaf3JC8vJdbZL/how-to-make-superbabies

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy