By EOY 2040, will I have been parent to a human child?
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2
Ṁ342040
52%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
I don't currently plan any children, so this is mostly a market on whether I change my mind.
Adopting a child counts. Being a biological father (or mother or whatever the hell I'll be in 2040) but not being part of the child's life doesn't count.
Feel free to ask questions to estimate my chances, and I will feel free to accept or ignore them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@degtorad Wait, I'm not sure I see what you mean. You of all traders should know this market is crazy overpriced.
@wadimiusz Are you in a relationship?
Are you in a country in an active state of war?
Do you have you own apartment/house?
How many jobs did you change in the recent 5 years?
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