
π«π What will happen depending on if Dems/Trump win the 2024 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
41
3.9kαΉ61732029
95%
If Trump wins, the S&P500 will reach a new all time high before the end of his term
94%
If Trump wins, Bitcoin will reach a new All Time High before the end of his term
90%
If Trump wins, will the USA conduct mass deportations before end of his term
79%
If Trump Wins, Trump will NOT go to prison before the end of his life
77%
If Trump wins, Biden will die before the end of Trump's term
76%
If Trump wins, the Ukraine/Russia war will end in a border settlement of some type before the end of his term
75%
If Trump Wins, he will be impeached again before the end of his life
73%
If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] report he has attempted to pass legislation to increase presidential term limits (i.e. >2 terms) before Inauguration Day 2029
52%
If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] report that 1,000,000+ undocumented immigrants have been deported during 2025
46%
If Trump Wins, Joe Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of either of their lives
42%
If Trump wins, will the USA pass Ukraine aid at least once in his term
34%
If Trump Wins, Trump will be found guilty of a crime before the end of his life
33%
If Trump Wins, Joe Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Trump's term
32%
If Trump wins, at least two of [BBC, CNN, NYT, Reuters, Washington Post, Fox News, AP] will be censored, prosecuted, nationalized, shut down, or prevented by government action from operating freely & openly in the US.
31%
If Trump wins, Hillary Clinton will be charged with a crime before the end of her life
26%
If Trump Wins, Hunter Biden will be charged with a crime before the end of Trump's term
23%
If Trump wins, Trump will die before the end of his term
20%
If Trump wins, China will invade Taiwan OR full blockade (or otherwise attack)
17%
If Trump wins, Russia attacks Poland
12%
If Trump wins , the USA will leave NATO before the end of his term
Rules (work in progress)
If Trump wins, all the 'If Biden Wins' options will be NAed, and visa versa
If Trump wins, all the 'Biden will win' options will be resolved NO, and visa versaIf Trump or Biden die, their options will be NAed or changed to 'if Dems win' / 'if Reps win' depending on my judgement
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What happens if Trump wins 2024 elections? [unlinked, add your answers]
If Trump wins in 2024, how will it affect the transition of power after 2028 election?
Who will win the 2032 United States presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, will Joe Biden win in 2028?
1% chance