This market is determined by me checking my net profit, as determined by the all-time tab on https://manifold.markets/stq?tab=portfolio, at 11:59 pm EST on February 28th (or as soon after that as possible, if I'm asleep or busy at that point, but no more than 24 hours after, at which point the market will be resolved as N/A if I have still failed to check). If it is above -$250, the market resolves yes; otherwise, it resolves no.
For context, my all-time net profit currently stands at -$392. I reserve the right to bet in this market as I deem appropriate, but will not engage in intentional losses of money on other markets for the purposes of gaining money on this one.
[I changed the year from 2022 to 2023 when I realized it was incorrect. I assume most people were operating under the assumption that it was 2023, so I will not be resolving the market N/A.]
Feb 23, 11:41am: Will my all-time net profit be above -$250 by EOD February 28th, 2022? → Will my all-time net profit be above -$250 by EOD February 28th, 2023?
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# | Name | Total profit |
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1 | Ṁ154 | |
2 | Ṁ23 | |
3 | Ṁ23 | |
4 | Ṁ11 | |
5 | Ṁ9 |
@Conflux i am now officially above average at betting, which clearly means that all my hot takes are similarly above average in validity :P