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MANIFOLD
Will I be mugged before June 2027
7
Ṁ100Ṁ415
2027
11%
chance

Will someone mug me before June 1, 2027? The mugging cannot have been incentivized by any prediction market

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bought Ṁ10 NO

where will you be? where are you?

@nikthink I go to the university of chicago in the south of chicago. I don't think I will be mugged, this is just so I can hedge if it gets too low

@spiderduckpig According to the annual security and fire safety report, in 2025, the main campus area had 2 burglaries, 71 motor vehicle thefts (mostly ebikes and scooters), and 3 robberies. Overall, the Chicago south side has had declining crime rates since the pandemic spike