Will I break a bone before the end of 2027? | Manifold

Will I break a bone before the end of 2027?

16

Ṁ100Ṁ461

2027

7%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Tagged with 'personal goals', is it?
Actuarially and for the average adult, odds are pretty low (close order of 1% per year) ... but I have no idea what you get up to and one has to suppose the average person who creates a 'Will I break a bone...' market might have elevated odds
Anyway, I bet no

You planning to arm wrestle at manifest this year?

People are also trading

Will I break another bone before 2027?

Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?

Will I get Lou Gehrig’s disease by 2027?

Will I be in a coma at the end of 2027?

Will I be alive at the end of 2029?

Will I be able to do a muscle-up by the end of 2026?

Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?

Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?

Will I be single at the end of 2026?

Will I do anything in 2027

Related questions

Will I break another bone before 2027?

Will I have a baby by the end of 2027?

Will I get Lou Gehrig’s disease by 2027?

Will I be in a coma at the end of 2027?

Will I be alive at the end of 2029?

Will I be able to do a muscle-up by the end of 2026?

Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?

Will I be in a serious, potentially-long-term relationship by the end of 2026?

Will I be single at the end of 2026?

Will I do anything in 2027