Will I or my immediate family be the target of an anti-Jewish hate crime before 2027?
11
46
Ṁ315Ṁ210
2027
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes myself, my sister, and my parents. Not any more distant relatives. Only counts instances after market creation.
Must actually be a crime, not mean words. Minor crimes do qualify, as long as they're clearly motivated by anti-Jewish sentiment.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
6% chance
Will Israeli LGBT rights be discernibly eroded before 2026?
19% chance
Will More Than 1 Million Jews Immigrate to Israel in the years 2024-2027?
18% chance
Will Chicago experience an anti-immigrant riot before 2025?
17% chance
Will the amount of hate crimes in the U.S. go up in 2023?
87% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
6% chance
Will any explicitly leftist, pro-Palastine US organization or individual kill a Jewish person in the US before 2025?
30% chance
Will Donald Trump be convicted of a crime before 2027?
85% chance
Will there be riots involving Jewish / Arab citizens in Israel comparable to the 2021 riots as a result of 10/7 attack?
14% chance