Now: 8/29/26 Update 2026-08-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To be considered functionally immortal, the following criteria must be met: Technology that allows a human to remain indefinitely alive The human must remain conscious and self-aware for most of that time

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 28% chance (16 traders, as of Sep 12, 2026).

Person alive now becomes functionally immortal

MANIFOLD

Person alive now becomes functionally immortal

Ṁ100Ṁ906

2157

28%

chance

ALL

Now: 8/29/26

Update 2026-08-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To be considered functionally immortal, the following criteria must be met:
- Technology that allows a human to remain indefinitely alive
- The human must remain conscious and self-aware for most of that time

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

What exactly required to be functionally immortal? Agelessness?

@SamuelMillerick just technology that allows a human to remain indefinitely alive, while remaining conscious and self-aware for most of it. We can assume indefinite access to medical treatment/procedures