Starship Flight 10 successfully deploys a payload?
6
100Ṁ200Dec 31
60%
chance
12
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mass Sim / dummy payload counts. In the off-chance flight 10 isn't intended to attempt a payload deployment, this shifts to flight 11, 12, etc, until some flight is planned with a payload.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will Starship flight 10 happen?
When will Starship flight 11 happen?
Starship flight 10 soft touchdown?
45% chance
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?
When will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Will Starship have a 99% success rate as of its 500th payload-carrying launch?
76% chance
What will happen successfully during Starship flight 11?
Will the Starship flight 10 ship be caught?
1% chance
When will Starship deploy satellites for the 2nd time?
4/6/26
When will Starship successfully land for the first time?
1/9/26