Will SBF live till the end of the year?
56
1.1kṀ17kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's come to light that bad things went on with SBF/FTX and they stole a lot of traders money. What are the odds he survives till the end of the year?
Will resolve negatively if there's a verified report that he is dead, positively otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ93 | |
| 2 | Ṁ76 | |
| 3 | Ṁ32 | |
| 4 | Ṁ25 | |
| 5 | Ṁ20 |
People are also trading
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will SBF make a tweet in 2025?
43% chance
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
80% chance
Will SBF die in prison?
30% chance
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2050?
14% chance
Will SBF be released by the start of 2045?
69% chance
Sort by:
https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-live-till-the
I just copied this for Caroline Ellison.
@Conflux I think you misinterpreted the question -- this is the odds he lives, not the odds he dies. I think the odds he dies are probably between 10 and 20 percent
People are also trading
Related questions
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will SBF make a tweet in 2025?
43% chance
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
80% chance
Will SBF die in prison?
30% chance
Will SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2050?
14% chance
Will SBF be released by the start of 2045?
69% chance