Will resolve to the number of days until Israel’s next war, including a resume of the conflict with Iran. Stars June 26 2025
Update 2025-08-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market will resolve to YES if a war meeting the criteria occurs before the close date. It will not resolve to the specific number of days.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ18 | |
| 2 | Ṁ18 | |
| 3 | Ṁ17 | |
| 4 | Ṁ17 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
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@PaulBenjaminPhotographer the description says "will resolve to the number of days". So the only way it could have resolved NO (ie zero) is if a new war had broken out on the same day the market was created
@PaulBenjaminPhotographer TBF, the summarizer bot got completely confused here. But it's often unreliable
@AhronMaline "The creator has clarified that this market will resolve to YES if a war meeting the criteria occurs before the close date."
No huge drama, but...
@PaulBenjaminPhotographer yeah in this case I don't even know where the bot got that idea. But anyway, it's just meant to be a summary of comments the creator made - you can see for youself what's actually there.
@someone8Nngy @mods if you do count the Yemen airstrikes, then this should have resolved to 10% back on July 6 (ten days after market opening). From the fact that the creator was buying YES long after that, as well as commenting, I think we can understand that they do not count those as a "new war". Thus there has been no new war for more than 100 days, and the market should resolve YES.