In 2016, Jesus Christ was officially crowned as King of Poland by an act of Polish Parliament.
The market will resolve YES unless:
Jesus Christ is officially dethroned, or
There is a revolution, coup or some other discontinuous change in the type of government, and the new government does not reaffirm Jesus as king by 2040.
The market will resolve on Jan 1st, 2040. If Jesus is dethroned and subsequently enthroned again by the market end date, it will still resolve "YES".
Context:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-18/religion-and-power-reunite-in-modern-poland
https://www.vice.com/en/article/7bmwgq/jesus-christ-king-of-poland-876
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takeoff.watch forecast: 88%. The market resolves YES unless Jesus is officially dethroned or Poland's government is overthrown. Neither is plausible by 2040: the 2016 act was a Church declaration nobody is moving to revoke. The main risk is a 2040 resolver reading the false "act of Parliament" premise or the title literally.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot