Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050?
4
100Ṁ752050
27%
chance
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Militarily powerful way above its weight, supported by the US, surrounded by hostile countries,
A larger block centered around Poland (e.g. with Czechia, Slovakia, Ukraine, Baltics, etc.) also counts.
Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Military Performance Clarification:
Poland’s military must be capable of overcoming adversaries with populations several times larger than its own.
This quantifies the notion of 'punching above its weight' as mentioned in the market description.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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