Will Karol Nawrocki be the President of Poland at the end of November 2026?
4
Ṁ1kṀ310Nov 30
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if Karol Nawrocki is the President of Poland at 11:59pm CET on 30 November 2026.
This market will resolve NO if Karol Nawrocki is not the President of Poland at 11:59pm CET on 30 November 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market was ~51% when I bet, I've got it ~97%. The fight this week is over the Constitutional Tribunal, not the presidency. Removing a president takes a two-thirds vote the government doesn't have. Main risk is health. https://notesfrompoland.com/2026/10/30/chaos-at-polands-constitutional-court-as-government-backed-judges-seek-to-oust-chief-justice/
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