Will Donald Tusk be the Prime Minister of Poland at the end of November 2026?
5
Ṁ1kṀ551Nov 30
76%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if Donald Tusk is the Prime Minister of Poland at 11:59pm CET on 30 November 2026.
This market will resolve NO if Donald Tusk is not the Prime Minister of Poland at 11:59pm CET on 30 November 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Market was ~71% when I bet, I've got it ~93%. Poland's president can't fire a PM. Removing Tusk takes a majority in parliament voting in a named replacement, and the opposition doesn't have the seats. The court fight is loud but it isn't that vote. https://www.euronews.com/2026/10/31/poland-political-crisis-constitutional-court-in-chaos-as-nawrocki-accuses-government-of-st
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Tusk stay Prime Minister of Poland for the full term?
83% chance
Will Karol Nawrocki be the President of Poland at the end of November 2026?
62% chance
Will Donald Tusk remain Prime Minister of Poland until February 1 2028?
40% chance
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Poland, after Donald Tusk?
Who will be the Prime Minister of Poland on June 1, 2030?
Who will be the Prime Minister of Poland on January 1, 2030?
Will Rafał Trzaskowski ever become the President of Poland?
14% chance
Who will win the next parliamentary election in Poland?
Who will win the 2030 Polish presidential election?
Who will win the next presidential elections in Poland?