Which EU country will disqualify a major presidential candidate or a major political party next?
10
175Ṁ102
Dec 31
6%
Poland
23%
Germany
3%
Austria
7%
France (again)
7%
Romania (again)
19%
Finland
34%
Other

After France and Romania, i.e. after Apr 1, 2025

Previous edition:

  • Update 2025-05-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A disqualification counts as soon as the ruling becomes binding. This is regardless of:

    • The possibility of an appeal.

    • Whether the ruling is later stayed.

  • Update 2025-05-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding appealed rulings:

    • If the individual/party can still run while an appeal is pending, the market does not resolve.

    • If the individual/party is barred from running unless the appeal resolves in their favor, the market does resolve.

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