Conditions for Second Coming of Christ better in 2030 than 2024?

100Ṁ73

2029

58%

chance

ALL

The resolution will be based on holistic assessment of the world situation including factors such us:

return of magic and mysticism to the world
withdrawal of hyper-rationalist, science- and evidence-based thought from the public discourse
presence and widespread appeal of false/pretender messiahs
serious consideration of the second coming of Chris in mainstream public discourse

I think 2024 was a really bad time for the return of Jesus Christ. Had Christ appeared, he would likely have been ignored and ridiculed by the "show me the evidence" types who dominate the public square.

Update 2025-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Noticeable Difference
- The change in conditions must be significant enough to be clearly noticeable between 2024 and 2030.

Christ-Conducive Environment

The shift must be conducive to accepting the Second Coming of Christ. A world exhibiting magic or mysticism without a corresponding increase in recognition of Christianity will yield a NO resolution.

Miraculous Authenticity

Any return of magic or related events must be as real as the miracles described in the Bible.

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Will progress in end signs becoming manifest count. Say they destroy al-Aqsa which could prepare for the building of the third temple mentioned in revelations?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen If it leads people to think in those terms, then sure, but the same thing could be also done in a very rational setting, in which case, no.

@skibidist so you insist on vibe based, not allowing concrete criteria?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I want it to resolve with the spirit of the market and not due to technicality. So yeah, you have to incorporate your view of my judgement into any bet.

I don't want people to demand YES resolution when it's clear that the Second Coming is not happening

A few clarifying questions:

Does it only need to be very slightly more so or a significant change?
Does public belief in magic and mysticism count or must it be verifiably real?

@TheAllMemeingEye 1) Must be noticeable but also must be conducive to accepting the Second Coming of Christ. A fully magical world without Christianity in it will resolve NO. 2) Must be as real as Christ's miracles described in the bible were.

@skibidist

Must be as real as Christ's miracles described in the bible were.

as in there is a religious text that says it happened and many people believe it out of faith but there is no empirical basis for it whatsoever?

@TheAllMemeingEye Empirical schmempirical .. I'd rather trust my priest.

I think the rise of LLMs will be the nail in the coffin for mass literacy. This will then lead to a return to oral and sign based (magical) thinking in the broader population.