Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to Richard Dawkins)? | Manifold

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to Richard Dawkins)?

Basic

6

Ṁ887

2030

2%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), Richard Dawkins confirms that Jesus has returned. Resolves NO otherwise.

May resolve N/A if Richard Dawkins dies and, in my judgement, if he were alive he might confirm that Jesus has returned.

Market idea from https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823/comment/39227249

Scott Alexander on Substack

" A low-effort way would have been to base resolution on announcements from the Catholic Pope." I don't know if I trust someone who's pre-selected for being maximally willing to believe miraculous stories involving Jesus. I'd pick Richard Dawkins.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will Jesus return before the year 2030?

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will there exist a scholarly consensus in the year 3000 affirming the existence of Jesus as a historical figure?

Will Elon Musk travel to space by 2035?

Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?

Will there be a Second Coming of Christ by 2100?

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen in 2024?

Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?

Will the US have an atheist president by 2033?

Related questions

Will Jesus return before the year 2030?

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?

Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030?

Will there be a Second Coming of Christ by 2100?

Will there exist a scholarly consensus in the year 3000 affirming the existence of Jesus as a historical figure?

Will the second coming of Jesus Christ happen in 2024?

Will Elon Musk travel to space by 2035?

Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?

Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038

Will the US have an atheist president by 2033?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules