Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)? | Manifold

Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)?

Plus

12

Ṁ577

2030

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), the pope confirms that Jesus has returned. Resolves NO otherwise.

May resolve N/A if there is no pope and, in my judgement, if there were a pope he might confirm that Jesus has returned.

Market idea from https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823/comment/39215917

a_longer_name on Substack

> Polymarket Second Coming of Jesus Question This is why I have a hard time taking these markets even half-seriously except for Kalshi and the old IEM. Here the question is a joke in two ways when it should only be one. A low-effort way would have been to base resolution on announcements from the Catholic Pope. The "serious" questions are way too often a joke in this way too. Question ill-defined, resolution unclear.

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