Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2026?
➕
Plus
31
Ṁ773
2026
16%
chance

Refer to the winners of /singer/who-are-the-top-10-ai-researchers-a

This market resolves YES if one of the 10 winners of the above market claim that we are in a "winter" for AI at any time before 2026. Here are the names:

  • Ilya Sutskever

  • Yann LeCun

  • Andrej Karpathy

  • Yoshua Bengio

  • Geoffrey Hinton

  • Jürgen Schmidhuber

  • Alec Radford

  • Paul Christiano

  • Demis Hassabis

  • Eliezer Yudkowsky

The statement needs to be unambiguous and officially given by the person. Twitter is fine, but private conversations don't count.

I won't be betting in this market.

Related markets:

/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl-cb787d497aeb

/singer/will-one-of-these-ai-researchers-cl-782af8e21597

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Among all the great AI people, only Jensen Huang has the authority to make such a claim

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules