I owe either thanks or blame (let's call it attribution and leave it at that) to @RobertCousineau for being my gateway into Manifold. one could easily say I already spend entirely too much time here, but that's a market for another day.

Robert wrote a submission to Manifund to launch a Seattle Manifold Meetup, and it's all happening. the inaugural Meetup will be on the 20th of December in the Seattle/east side area (location TBD - bet on attendee numbers, obviously. if you're in the Seattle area, RSVP here).

relevant:

• it's winter here which is a popular time for meetups and attendance is pretty good generally speaking

• the 20th is less than two weeks away and the holidays are near, so it's unclear how many people will be in town and able to join

• this will be shared around a few adjacent established meetup contacts like the Seattle EA, ACX, and Rationalists groups

• there is a solstice event posted amongst these same groups the following evening, on the 21st (so it would be two in person events back-to-back shared to similar folks)

• Robert has already had a few people say they're keen to come whenever the meetup starts, and we've discussed in our local Discord

the intention is to make this a fortnightly meetup and to not only socialise but to share good info, particularly for those who aren't familiar with prediction markets or Manifold.

since I've become addicted to commodotising life events (and ngl - I'm a social creature so I'm happy when these moments come that terminal onlineness meets mutual grass touching) : what percentage of the attendees will be new to Manifold?

I'll count as New those who create an account at or in preparation for this Meetup.

see also: