Manifest 2024 will take place June 7th to June 9th in Berkeley, California. before the event, Lightcone and Manifold are hosting LessOnline and Manifest Summer Camp from May 31st to June 7th at the Lighthaven Campus.

this market is for prop bets about the events leading up to the main event of Manifest! note that all bets are about LessOnline and Summer Camp, and are not for the conference itself. to bet on the conference, see @Joshua's market:

/Joshua/what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene

add anything that you think would be:

• fun to predict, might or might not happen - be creative, don't add anything that will have an obvious resolution

• reasonably simple to track whether it happened or not (nothing too hard to count)

• respectful of people's privacy (let people make their own "will I get laid" markets, don't make one for them)

I'm going to attend, and I'll resolve everything I can. staff or other mods are welcome to help me resolve options as well, as prop bet markets are hard for any one person to manage. if you request resolution, please try to add a comment to the option and add any context or details for why it should resolve (when relevant).

market close will be extended as necessary if the dates change for any reason.

ftr - if you're not in the relevant Discord servers, you may miss out on some free alpha
Manifold Discord
Manifest Discord

related markets:
/Joshua/which-users-will-attend-manifest-20
/Joshua/what-will-happen-at-manifest-2-gene

/DanMan314/who-will-be-a-special-guestspeaker

/NeilG/will-vibecamp-2024-have-more-attend

/jim/will-i-have-fun-at-manifest-2024
/jim/which-games-will-jim-play-at-manife
/TonyPepperoni/how-many-times-in-2024-will-my-girl
/Clark/will-i-be-brave-enough-to-try-to-gr