hi @traders - thanks for joining me here, but I'm likely to NA this market today as I'd rather not run it alongside this aspect of my personal life/goals. any mana you've invested here will come back to you!

@shankypanky fair enough, best of luck 🤞

@Joshua lmao this is probably a good litmus test

Do you consent to a market answer about hooking up?

If so, how would you want it operationalized? (Must be before marriage? Must be before 4th date begins? Etc.)

@shankypanky does Manifold count as an app?

@jcb ack, I'll update. I meant a dating app.

@jcb (there's an existing option for going on a date with someone I met on Manifold, though!)

I have a date this evening (if I don't cancel it h/t @Joshua lol) lfg

How is “i give him a gift” higher than “he gives me a gift”? This is very contrary to gender roles but maybe stefanie is a huge gift giver?

@KaylaG I am a gift giver! but also, people likely assume since I see the market and could theoretically do that to resolve yes it's more reliable than some guy giving me a gift on a date without any prompting!

75% oh no

Firstly, to help set base rates, which of the current options happened the last time you tried dating, and how frequently?

Secondly, some general questions which affect the odds of options related to relationship success in general (ones I think I already know are struck-through, but I may be wrong):

• General info

  • What is your approximate age, gender (I think woman based on username and profile pic?), and sexual/romantic orientation?

  • What general part of the world do you live in? (I think the Bay Area based on other market?)

  • What broad sector is your current profession / subject of study in?

• Primary dating factors

  • Are you actively attempting to find someone, or planning to in the near future? (yes based on market description)

  • What methods are you currently using, or planning to use?

  • How attractive do you consider yourself to be, and do you consider yourself to have high standards for attractiveness in potential partners, both physically and personality-wise?

  • Roughly how much past relationship experience do you have?

  • What is the approximate size, gender balance, and relationship success rate of your friendship group?

• Potential major barriers

  • Do you have extremely controversial political/philosophical/religious views or hobbies/interests?

  • Do you have significant physical (I know there's the thyroid problem from the other market, not sure if anything else?) and/or mental long term illnesses/disabilities?

  • Do you find it difficult to enjoy the company of, compassionately care about, and trust people you meet?

  • Do you have very little consistent free time to spend on finding someone?

• Misc/meta

  • Do you have a date-me-doc (e.g. https://dateme.directory/) or another long-form dating profile that you could share, which might contain further insights into personality, humour, mindset etc.

  • What overall percentile score do you get when taking Aella's sexual market value quiz (https://www.guidedtrack.com/programs/tsvy965/run) honestly?

The All Memeing Eye Official List Of Dating Odds Questions has arguably grown to be quite large over time lol, so you don't have to answer them all if it's too inconvenient/personal

Best of luck :)

this market closes in 24h?

@nikthink oh god, I'm not that ambitious. thanks - I'll update.

Does "he tells me he's already on manifold" resolve yes if you met on manifold?

@LarsOsborne hmm my intention for that one was to find out unexpectedly. I'll add an option for a date with someone I met on Manifold!

@shankypanky could you add the word "unexpectedly" to it to avoid people betting mistakenly?

@TheAllMemeingEye him I think it's clear that if he tells me he's on manifold we didn't already meet there (because I'd already know that, then lol) is it really unclear?