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MANIFOLD
Who will be MEX1 at IMO 2026?
17
Ṁ300Ṁ2.2k
resolved May 3
100%76%
Takumi Higashida
13%
Iker Torres
3%
Javier Caram
1.8%
Braulio Gonzalez
3%
Sebastian Montemayor
0.6%
Andrea Cascante
0.6%
Emiliano Hernandez
0.6%
Juan Luis Manriquez
0.6%
David Llanas
0.6%
Carlos Maya
0.6%
Francisco Martín
0.5%Other

TST is from April 27 to May 5

Only MEX1 will be resolved Yes

Only Takumi (SS), Javier (B), Iker (B) and Emiliano (HM) have made IMO before.

Everyone listed, will take tests during March to decide who will take the TST.

TST is worth half the total score for IMO rankings, other tests from December to March decide the rest of the score.

ofc inspired by https://manifold.markets/Wintersfan/who-will-be-idn1-at-imo-2026?r=c2I

  • Update 2026-03-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - MEX1 is determined by rank (highest scorer)

    • No score multipliers for veteran participants

  • Update 2026-04-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Last day of TST is April 30th; market will resolve by May 5th

Market context
Competition Math
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IMO
Mexico
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Ṁ1,000
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Has TST been done yet? Deadline is coming 😆

@RaymondChristopherTanto Last day of TST is April 30th, market will resolve may 5th or before

bought Ṁ10 YES

As a fellow 770 730 at IMO 2025, I will support you

Is MEX1 based on rank?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@Wintersfan Yes, also no multiplier for veterans

@sb As far as I know, the only country to do that is Indonesia 😭

bought Ṁ40 YES

I will try I guess (va a ser taki)

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