How many people will attend Manifest 2023? [MORE SPECIFIC]
42
4kṀ10kresolved Nov 17
34%8%
226-250
24%0.6%
201-225
19%65%
251-275
9%0.3%
176-200
7%18%
276-300
4%0.4%
0-175 [fewer than or equal to 175]
2%5%
301-325
1%1.4%
326-350
0%0.7%
> 400 [more than equal to 401]
0%0.9%
351-375
0%0.4%
376-400
Resolves based on the total number of attendees & guests of honor at Manifest 2023, the inaugural forecasting & prediction market conference hosted by Manifold.
Buy tickets: manifestconference.net/tickets
Join the discord: https://discord.gg/sVwRY65ZRj
The original market on this question (linked below) had buckets with ranges of 100 people; we made it before we knew a lot of the specifics. Now, it's looking pretty likely that the attendance will be somewhere between 200 and 400 — or at least, the original market is saying ~83% as of the time of this writing (Thurs Sept 14 5:46pm PT). So here's a more specific market!
Original market:
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