Will more New York Times articles use the word "wokeness" in 2024 than in 2023?
CultureUsage of terms in media
Basic
18
Ṁ815
Dec 31
44%
chance

This is a market for answering questions like "has wokeness peaked?". See also this market.

I will resolve the market using searches like this https://www.nytimes.com/search?dropmab=false&endDate=20231231&query=%22wokeness%22&sort=best&startDate=20230101

Historical usage statistics:

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creator seems to be inactive, so I'm updating here after searching with the link in the market description


2024 YTD: 24

(2023 for the same period: 67)
2023 Total: 149

sold Ṁ18 YES

2024 numbers to date are significantly less than 2023 numbers for the same time period. Looking like NO so far then.

predicts YES

Can you update 2023 stats?

predicts YES

My current thinking is that wokeness as a phenomenon has peaked a bit, along the lines of the linked post here, but on the other hand 2024 is more of an election year than 2023 and will probably have more political discourse https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2023/08/usa-poll-fact-of-the-day.html

USA poll fact of the day - Marginal REVOLUTION
Just as Woke has peaked, has “anti-Woke” peaked as well?: When presented with the choice between two hypothetical Republican candidates, only 24 percent of national Republican voters opted for a “a candidate who focuses on defeating radical ‘woke’ ideology in our schools, media and culture” over “a candidate who focuses on restoring law and order […]

I wonder how the results would change if you didn't get results from the editorial page.

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