This resolves based on the correlation between percent of voters who voted for Trump in the 2024 election and google trends use of the word based, broken down by state, weighted by the number of voters in the 2024 presidential election.
As of the writing of this question, the coefficient of correlation is 0.513. If it is less at the end of 2025, this market resolves YES. Otherwise, this market resolves NO.
Resolves N/A if I can't get the data in an equivalent format from google trends at the end of 2025
Sources: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=based&date=now%201-d&geo=US&hl=en
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election#Results
1,000@creator If this resolved today, how would it resolve? I don't think I can confidently recreate your resolution methodology myself.