Some see signs that wokeness has already peaked in the United States. For example, at the New York Times, journalists are now more willing to push back against woke demands.

This market is not about how woke, or anti-woke, Republicans will become. It could be that Republicans become slightly more woke while Democrats become slightly less woke on average, which would bring the two sides closer together, and would still be consistent with my thesis of wokeness peaking overall. Or it could be that more Republicans become aggressively anti-woke, which could lead to Democrats rolling back their wokeness somewhat, to pick up more votes from normies/independents, which could again lead to my prediction coming true - although note that the level of wokeness in US society is not just determined by politicians, but also by corporates, institutions, HR departments, etc.

This market is also not about a single woke issue, such as youth gender transition. It is about all "woke issues" such as race, gender, "fatphobia", etc. taken together.

Market will be resolved according to my best judgement based on the evidence available to me, and may be resolved early if there is a clear peaking evident.