Will any of Ford / General Motors / Stellantis file for any chapter of bankruptcy prior to January 1, 2026?
Will any of Ford / General Motors / Stellantis file for any chapter of bankruptcy prior to January 1, 2026?
7
110Ṁ111Dec 31
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve "YES" if a newspaper of national record (New York Times / Wall Street Journal / Washington Post / Los Angeles Times) report that any of Ford / General Motors / Stellantis have formally filed for any chapter of bankruptcy prior to 1/1/2026.
Will resolve "NO" if none have as of 1/1/2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will any of FORD / GENERAL MOTORS / STELLANTIS declare any chapter of bankruptcy between now and 2027?
48% chance
Will one of the “Big Three” automakers (GM/Ford/Stellantis) file for bankruptcy before 2027?
37% chance
Will any of Ford, GM, Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by EOY 2026
37% chance
Will Ford, GM, or Stellantis be bailed out by the US Government by end 2028?
38% chance
Will Stellantis (Chrysler, Peugeot, Citroën, ...) go bankrupt before 2030?
19% chance
Will General Motors go bankrupt before 2030?
29% chance
Will Ford go bankrupt before 2030?
10% chance
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy by the end of 2027?
9% chance
Will Tesla declare bankruptcy by 2034?
19% chance
Will AMC file for bankruptcy before the end of 2028?
50% chance