Will the worlds installed power generation from nuclear sources in 2025 be more than 3000 TWh ?
Will the worlds installed power generation from nuclear sources in 2025 be more than 3000 TWh ?
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13%
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This graph on Our World in Data is essential to the question.
Creates context as well will be the primairy source for resolving.
Resolves YES shows if the World Global Generation of Nuclear Energy graph 3,000.00 TWh or more for the 2025 datapoint (will only be published in 2026).
If it shows less than 3,000.00 TWh this will resolve to NO.
In case Our World in Data is not publishing this graph anymore, I will do my best effort to locate the source data (Ember's Yearly Electricity Data) and recreate the datapoint. Only if that fails this resolves N/A

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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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