Will the United States be directly involved in a war by the end of 2028?
Standard
18
Ṁ1412
2029
66%
chance

Beyond supplying armaments, will the United States be directly involved in an open conflict.

This does not require formal declaration of war by Congress, but must be more than an assassination or single strike. For example, an artillery bombardment from US forces or the landing of US troops would count as Yes.

Substantially economic or military arms shipments would not count (e.g. Ukraine).

Will resolve yes before close date if criteria is met.

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