Will AGI be a whole number?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ1002036
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If AGI is released by a lab that numbers their models (e.g. OpenAI (GPT-6), Anthropic (Claude 5), SpaceXAI (Grok 4.7)), will the first model generally considered to be AGI be a whole number?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2029?
46% chance
Will we get AGI before 2048?
87% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2046?
84% chance
Will we get AGI before 2027?
3% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
85% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2043?
78% chance
Will we get AGI before 2042?
76% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
79% chance