If you want to stay on the good side of your favorite president, you should bet on my new lottery, TrumpMegaMillions.
How It Works
After this market closes, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number N among 1 to 5000 in the comments. The Nth unique trader of this market wins 10000 mana, if such a trader exists. Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time.
To participate, make a trade with 1 mana and sell it. Your trade will be recorded and you will become a unique trader. This market will unconditionally resolve to 50%.
Get Higher Chances of Winning
You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ5 each.
You will get an additional N number when the 5000-sided die is rolled.
You must purchase a minimum of 2 additional entries
To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"
Changing Your Lotto Numbers
If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.
It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.
Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.
Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.
For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.
Automations and Bounties
I have also made a python script if you want to automate a buy-1-sell-1 every day: https://github.com/realDonaldTrump-Manifold/TrumpMegaMillions
For each month a Manifolder runs this script continuously, I will send the user Ṁ50.
Stats
Day: 1
All-Time Prizes: Ṁ0
Manifolders Using Automation: 0
Automation Bounties Distributed: Ṁ0
Yesterday's "Gamblers": N/A
If anyone has suggestions for more stats, LMK in the comments.
Disclaimers & Credits
Disclaimers:
I reserve the right to end TrumpMegaMillions at any time for any reason.
TrumpMegaMillions will resolve and will make a new daily market within 24 hours of close time. I am likely to resolve shortly after close, but I am not liable if I hold off for longer.
Although I don't think there are any, I am not responsible for any bugs in the automation that may cause losses.
I reserve the right to not pay out automation bounties if I do not believe the claimer was actually using the script.
Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce a response 24 hours after the close date, and after additional @FairlyRandom roll requests, I will manually resolve it according to a Google coinflip (outcome is final).
I can also add disclaimers at any moment.
Credits:
@ttoe for the idea.
@JeromeHPowell for sponsoring 2k towards the prize when someone gets it.
@Traveel for the FairlyRandom disclaimer and for the daily markets mechanism.
@Eliza for being the mod who approves this.
@jim for being the first ever gambler.
The Manifold team for being great. :)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ0 | |
| 2 | Ṁ0 | |
| 3 | Ṁ0 | |
| 4 | Ṁ0 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
@traders There are now new mechanisms in place to take unique positions in the Trump Lotto.
Get Higher Chances of Winning
You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ5 each.
You will get an additional N number when the 5000-sided die is rolled.
You must purchase a minimum of 2 additional entries
To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"
Changing Your Lotto Numbers
If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.
It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.
Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.
Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.
For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.
@traders DAY 5: https://manifold.markets/realDonaldTrump/m50k-prize-trumpmegamillions-day-5
We're running Manifold's biggest lottery ever. Win Ṁ50,000 for free on Day 5 of TrumpMegaMillions
@realDonaldTrump your random number is: 1385
Salt: 58nrt3y1dl8, round: 5585370 (signature 88c145f6503298569aae74c740c5be0821855056ce0e1acc1ec9734853f442e901684ae5a09f2c0c67fc48089f5a921e0643a10f6ef6b237ba0ba3166b0aef02275d1d8fc9417dced330452037640b9181a077d9162ead40accaa23fe88c51d0)
@realDonaldTrump you asked for a random integer between 1 and 5000, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 5585368 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5585370, salt: 58nrt3y1dl8.
@traders There are now new mechanisms in place to take unique positions in the Trump Lotto.
Get Higher Chances of Winning
You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ5 each.
You will get an additional N number when the 5000-sided die is rolled.
You must purchase a minimum of 2 additional entries
To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"
Changing Your Lotto Numbers
If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.
It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.
Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.
Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.
For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.
@realDonaldTrump Hold on, does the prize pool increase if you sell enough slots? Why would I pay 5 mana for a slot if you're only paying out 10,000 mana total.
@Eliza If you get two more slots, and there are 26 traders, your expectation increases by ~Ṁ714, since you have a 2/28 chance for those two slots to trigger. If more of the slots were filled, it wouldn't be worth it (but that requires 1998 slots to be filled). On the other hand, I have no idea why one would want to change their number.
@AshDorsey isn't each slot just 1/5000? You have to re-purchase new tickets every 24 hours for the next market.
@AshDorsey the market resolves every 24 hours and a new one is created. It's mainly a trader bonus cheating scheme because you need to place a new bet on a new market every day. If it was just one long running market it would not generate enough trader bonuses to pay for the prize pool.
@Jack0 the 4k yes at 49 and the 4k no at 51 would set the probability back more than one but I'm not sure.
@MaxE Not really new…
Sentences like "Otherwise, the lottery falls through till next time." in the description are copied verbatim. But at least with credit. Literally not a problem, but just pointing out it's not new.