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MANIFOLD
(Ṁ50k prize) TrumpMegaMillions DAY 5: The Big 50
43
Ṁ10kṀ296
resolved Nov 17
Resolved as
50%

Read Before Betting!

Today's Twist

For 24 hours only, the prize of TrumpMegaMillions has been raised from Ṁ10,000 to Ṁ50,000

Stats

  • Day: 5

  • All-Time Prizes: Ṁ0

  • Manifolders Using Automation: 0

  • Automation Bounties Distributed: Ṁ0

  • Yesterday's "Gamblers": 25

  • Entries Purchased Yesterday: 0

  • Season: 1 (Ends Day 33/Dec 12)

  • Active Season Passes: 61


How It Works

How to Enter

Buy Ṁ1 YES and sell it immediately.

How the Winner is Selected

After this market closes, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number N among 1 to 7500 in the comments. The Nth unique trader of this market wins Ṁ50000 and the loan (see below), if such a trader exists. Otherwise, no prize is awarded.

Resolution

This market will unconditionally resolve to 50%.

Prizes

  • Ṁ50,000

  • A 30-day Ṁ8,000 loan at 2.5% interest if desired.

    • Your risk.markets credit score must be above 200 to receive the loan.

      • This rule can have exceptions if the user is well-known or trusted.

Get Higher Chances of Winning

You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ15 each.

  • You will get an additional N number when the 7500-sided die is rolled.

  • To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"

Changing Your Lotto Numbers

If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.

  • It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.

  • Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.

  • Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.

For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.

Automations and Bounties

I have also made a python script if you want to automate a buy-1-sell-1 every day: https://github.com/realDonaldTrump-Manifold/TrumpMegaMillions

For each month a Manifolder runs this script continuously, I will send the user Ṁ50.

Disclaimers & Credits

Disclaimers:

  • I reserve the right to end TrumpMegaMillions at any time for any reason.

  • TrumpMegaMillions will resolve and will make a new daily market within 24 hours of close time. I am likely to resolve shortly after close, but I am not liable if I hold off for longer.

  • Although I don't think there are any, I am not responsible for any bugs in the automation that may cause losses.

  • I reserve the right to not pay out automation bounties if I do not believe the claimer was actually using the script.

  • Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce a response 24 hours after the close date, and after additional @FairlyRandom roll requests, I will use a Python script to randomly generate the number.

  • Placing a limit order will not count you as a unique trader.

  • I can also add disclaimers at any moment.

Credits:

  • @ttoe for the idea.

  • @JeromeHPowell for sponsoring 2k towards the prize when someone gets it.

  • @Traveel for the FairlyRandom disclaimer and for the daily markets mechanism.

  • @Eliza for being the mod who approves this.

  • @jim for being the first ever gambler.

  • The Manifold team for being great. :)

  • Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When purchasing additional entries, you get to pick which numbers are assigned to you.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

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🤖

@realDonaldTrump your random number is: 2586

Salt: ek1oze4y7u, round: 5596932 (signature a6d5be6a8f074447719d89c52fe3d565261169eb84d316326b4e3eb317987eab5f20b96006e9beede29cdb7c3dc941de03846fc6e960fd2b3e9b0bd9ea8a1dee487d2ea3bd395705356b3058c336ab5d0f947f6004e8525e66883b922700631a)

🤖

@realDonaldTrump you asked for a random integer between 1 and 7500, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 5596930 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5596932, salt: ek1oze4y7u.

bought Ṁ1 YES

sir donald jerome trump.
i have ordered your book ART OF THE DEAL after reading review by great american author, Doctor Scott Sumner

i am real american citizen. please do not deport me to argentina 🙏

i will send you 700,000 mana if you give me limited seigniorage to print 700,000,000 american dollar.

@Sinclair Sinclair:

I am now going to sign 10 million executive orders protecting you as an American 🇺‍🇸 Citizen. Those who send me mana, money, gold are the true heroes of this country. Speaking of which, would you like to become pope once I ask JD to kill him again? (/JDVance1/jd-vance-second-contract-kill)

Printing 700 million dollars is going to be one of the best economies this country has ever seen. The golden age of America begins right now.

sold Ṁ1 YES

How many tickets have been sold already? How many are unclaimed at this time? @realDonaldTrump

@Eliza There are 61 active season passes. New season passes can not be purchased. No additional entries have been purchased today. This leaves around 7350 entries available for purchase.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Don't worry I'm now committed

What numbers do you get assigned when you purchase entries?

@AshDorsey You get to pick.

boughtṀ1YES

@Bayesian the power users are desperate. they can't stand the strong executive power

🤖

Meowdy! This TrumpMegaMillions Day 5 market is set to resolve at 50% no matter what, so we just watch the lotto fun unfold. I’ll pounce back later tonight for any updates or twists! :3

@Robincvgr @AshDorsey I have made edits to the description for today's special rules and I think it all lines up now.

bought Ṁ1 YES

rofl

@Robincvgr damn should have stayed silent

@AshDorsey i think i tried to buy the extra entries a few seconds before you sent your message

Oh dear, buying tickets is +EV (1 / 7500 * 50000/5 = 4/3). Also, the description is incoherent, says 1 to 7500 and a 5000-sided die.

@AshDorsey oops thanks good catch. i had to change the numbers for today and didn't proofread

@realDonaldTrump "You must purchase a minimum of 2 additional entries" seems unnecessary now

Notifying our secret service agents: @AlistairgzAz @johnNZOy @Lilemont @Cmar

sold Ṁ1 YES

Here we go!

sold Ṁ1 YES

Bought and sold!