(Ṁ50k prize) TrumpMegaMillions DAY 5: The Big 50
18
10kṀ44
Nov 20
50%
chance

Read Before Betting!

Today's Twist

For 24 hours only, the prize of TrumpMegaMillions has been raised from Ṁ10,000 to Ṁ50,000

Stats

  • Day: 5

  • All-Time Prizes: Ṁ0

  • Manifolders Using Automation: 0

  • Automation Bounties Distributed: Ṁ0

  • Yesterday's "Gamblers": 25

  • Entries Purchased Yesterday: 0

  • Season: 1 (Ends Day 33/Dec 12)

  • Active Season Passes: 61


How It Works

How to Enter

Buy Ṁ1 YES and sell it immediately.

How the Winner is Selected

After this market closes, I will ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number N among 1 to 7500 in the comments. The Nth unique trader of this market wins Ṁ50000 and the loan (see below), if such a trader exists. Otherwise, no prize is awarded.

Resolution

This market will unconditionally resolve to 50%.

Prizes

  • Ṁ50,000

  • A 30-day Ṁ8,000 loan at 2.5% interest if desired.

    • Your risk.markets credit score must be above 200 to receive the loan.

      • This rule can have exceptions if the user is well-known or trusted.

Get Higher Chances of Winning

You can purchase additional entries in the lotto at the price of Ṁ15 each.

  • You will get an additional N number when the 7500-sided die is rolled.

  • To buy entries, managram the required mana to @realDonaldTrump with the message "TMM [Date] [# of entries]"

Changing Your Lotto Numbers

If you wish, you can purchase specific lotto numbers.

  • It costs Ṁ1 per lotto number you want to change.

  • Since you can only managram a minimum of Ṁ10, you can managram @realDonaldTrump Ṁ1 for the number of lotto numbers you'd like to change.

  • Comment on this market what you sent and what numbers you want.

For instance, you are unique trader 15 and have 9 additional tickets. You want your numbers to be 1234, 1235, [...], 1243. You can managram Ṁ10 and comment each number you want to change.

Automations and Bounties

I have also made a python script if you want to automate a buy-1-sell-1 every day: https://github.com/realDonaldTrump-Manifold/TrumpMegaMillions

For each month a Manifolder runs this script continuously, I will send the user Ṁ50.

Disclaimers & Credits

Disclaimers:

  • I reserve the right to end TrumpMegaMillions at any time for any reason.

  • TrumpMegaMillions will resolve and will make a new daily market within 24 hours of close time. I am likely to resolve shortly after close, but I am not liable if I hold off for longer.

  • Although I don't think there are any, I am not responsible for any bugs in the automation that may cause losses.

  • I reserve the right to not pay out automation bounties if I do not believe the claimer was actually using the script.

  • Should @FairlyRandom fail to produce a response 24 hours after the close date, and after additional @FairlyRandom roll requests, I will use a Python script to randomly generate the number.

  • Placing a limit order will not count you as a unique trader.

  • I can also add disclaimers at any moment.

Credits:

  • @ttoe for the idea.

  • @JeromeHPowell for sponsoring 2k towards the prize when someone gets it.

  • @Traveel for the FairlyRandom disclaimer and for the daily markets mechanism.

  • @Eliza for being the mod who approves this.

  • @jim for being the first ever gambler.

  • The Manifold team for being great. :)

  • Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): When purchasing additional entries, you get to pick which numbers are assigned to you.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1 YES

Don't worry I'm now committed

What numbers do you get assigned when you purchase entries?

@AshDorsey You get to pick.

boughtṀ1YES

@Bayesian the power users are desperate. they can't stand the strong executive power

🤖

Meowdy! This TrumpMegaMillions Day 5 market is set to resolve at 50% no matter what, so we just watch the lotto fun unfold. I’ll pounce back later tonight for any updates or twists! :3

@Robincvgr @AshDorsey I have made edits to the description for today's special rules and I think it all lines up now.

bought Ṁ1 YES

rofl

@Robincvgr damn should have stayed silent

@AshDorsey i think i tried to buy the extra entries a few seconds before you sent your message

Oh dear, buying tickets is +EV (1 / 7500 * 50000/5 = 4/3). Also, the description is incoherent, says 1 to 7500 and a 5000-sided die.

@AshDorsey oops thanks good catch. i had to change the numbers for today and didn't proofread

@realDonaldTrump "You must purchase a minimum of 2 additional entries" seems unnecessary now

Notifying our secret service agents: @AlistairgzAz @johnNZOy @Lilemont @Cmar

sold Ṁ1 YES

Here we go!

sold Ṁ1 YES

Bought and sold!

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy